Another round up on trading related stuffs.
The book is very useful, especially more so since trading itself is probabilistic and not deterministic. There is a huge difference between deterministic thinking and probabilistic thinking.
In deterministic thinking, I would be definitely sure that my actions would lead to a certain result. Whereas in probabilistic thinking, I can only be sure that if I put in 100% of effort, I can get only a certain percentage of return.
This makes it seriously dependent to be very clear about what it is that you are trading.
Been sealing up a lot of loopholes in my trading and also my thinking according to principles within the book. I did notice that for trading, when I traded, I had a similar pattern over and over again. So instead of trading two strategies, I’m reducing even further to just one strategy.
And my trades will be more in trend instead of against the trend as I previously did with the other strategy. Counter trend trades are more exciting in that you predict when the market will turn, from a constant down to an up.
But, it just isn’t for a beginner. The number of parameters for checking and taking a trade increases for going against trend and it is highly dependent on the other factors such as intermediate changes in lower volumes.
I got to spare my own heart from the counter trend trades. In trend trades are easier to protect against should they go wrong and their chances of success is much much higher since the large trend in going in the same direction as where you are trading to.
The number of trades I can do lowers significantly but it isn’t a numbers game. I found that I can do many many trades and yet end up losing a lot. Whereas it is also possible that I can just make just 4 or 5 trades and make good for the day.
And yeah, tomorrow is Martin Luther King’s birthday. So, no trading for tomorrow as USA markets are closed.
Monday is expected to have great falls in the SGX market. That is because the tail end of the uptrend has really been reached. And I guess that even IP has appeared on the much much higher trend charts.
Doubt my friend is going to be really happy… since he was trying to trade against trend and trying to catch the final tail bursts in the SGX market.
Oh wells….. check with him again on Monday. If he is still alive.